L&G: rates unlikely to fall regardless of MPC decision

Published on

Fixed rate mortgages have fallen by an average of 2.5% since 2010, according to research by Legal & General Mortgage Club.

Average monthly fixed rates have fallen by 2.23% for two-year fixed mortgages. By comparison, rates on five-year fixed loans have also seen a consistent decrease, falling close to 3% despite the base rate remaining at 0.5% since 2009.

Analysis of the data finds that rates fell on average 0.4% every year, as the UK continued to see a record low base rate of 0.5%. L&G said that the downward trajectory of rates did experience a number of reversals however. These variations largely corresponded with wider market turbulence, such as banks’ stress testing issues in early 2012, which affected lenders’ capital and the availability of funds, and resulted in two-year rates rising from 2.92% in September 2011 to 3.74% in June 2012 corresponding with stress.

The results also show a marked fall in fixed rates in the run-up to June’s EU referendum, with speculation that the Bank of England would opt to reduce the base interest rate following the result. Average two-year fixed rates fell from 1.88% to 1.74% in this period, whilst five-year fixed rates saw a fall from 2.71% to 2.57%. These reductions indicate that lenders had already begun to price in a potential reduction in their mortgage rates well before the Bank of England’s decision, L&G said.

Jeremy Duncombe, director at Legal & General Mortgage Club, said: “It’s clear from these results that the Bank of England’s base rate is not the defining factor in deciding mortgage interest rates. There has been a consistent and a substantial fluctuation in fixed rates since the 2009 decision to bring the base rate to an historic low level of 0.5%. Instead, it’s external factors, including availability of capital and the strength of the economy that play a significant role in fixed rates.

“For all the speculation about the impact of an impending base rate cut, these figures clearly show that lenders have already priced in a rate reduction on their two-year and five-year fixed rate mortgages. It’s therefore unlikely that a reduction in interest rates by the Bank of England will see a further significant fall in mortgage rates.

“Even if base rate is cut, there is no guarantee that SVRs would also fall , so now remains a great time for borrowers to consider their options, particularly if they are coming to the end of their mortgage term. To get the best deal, borrowers should speak with an adviser, as this will give them the best chance of securing a favourable deal on a mortgage that suits their circumstances.”

COMMENT ON MORTGAGE SOUP

We want to hear from you!
Leave a comment and get the conversation started.
You need to register to post, so please login or sign up below.

Latest articles

The 1.8 million problem nobody’s talking about

There's a number that should be keeping every mortgage firm owner awake right now....

Brokers urged to strengthen sanctions checks

Mortgage and financial services firms are being urged to review their sanctions controls after...

OneDome named among Europe’s fastest-growing fintech firms

OneDome has been named one of the fastest-growing fintech companies in Europe, the Middle...

Foundation raises maximum residential lending age to 80

Foundation Home Loans has increased its maximum residential lending age from 75 to 80...

First-time buyers wait six years to buy as lifestyle priorities reshape purchasing decisions

First-time buyers are spending an average of six years saving for a deposit as...

Latest publication

Other news

The 1.8 million problem nobody’s talking about

There's a number that should be keeping every mortgage firm owner awake right now....

Brokers urged to strengthen sanctions checks

Mortgage and financial services firms are being urged to review their sanctions controls after...

OneDome named among Europe’s fastest-growing fintech firms

OneDome has been named one of the fastest-growing fintech companies in Europe, the Middle...