RLAM: expect November rate cut

Published on

Despite the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) unanimously voting yesterday to maintain rates and quantitative easing, Royal London Asset Management (RLAM) expects another Bank Rate cut in November.

Ian Kernohan, economist at RLAM, said: “The Monetary Policy Committee had already cast doubt on the large fall in the July PMIs, so the economy’s bounce back in August should not have come as a surprise to them. There is enough evidence to suggest that while the economy may have slowed in Q3, it did not fall into recession, and the MPC note that data has actually been slightly stronger than they expected.

“However, the Bank sees these short term concerns as a side issue, noting that there has been no new information since the August Inflation Report relevant for the UK economy’s longer-term prospects.

“The Bank’s view is that the Brexit process will take some time, and will create uncertainties for households and firms. Specifically, they expect business spending to slow more sharply than consumer spending in response to this uncertainty.

“In my view, the news since the August Inflation Report should not have impacted this medium term assessment of the UK’s economic prospects, and I expect another rate cut in November.”

COMMENT ON MORTGAGE SOUP

We want to hear from you!
Leave a comment and get the conversation started.
You need to register to post, so please login or sign up below.

Latest articles

Energy-efficient homes ‘may carry higher climate risks’

Some of the UK’s more energy-efficient homes could face greater long-term exposure to flooding...

New towns plan may help supply but risks falling short, says former RICS chair

The government’s announcement of seven proposed new towns has been broadly welcomed as a...

Buy-to-let mortgage rates rise as landlords face fresh cost pressures

Buy-to-let mortgage rates have risen sharply this month, while landlords are also facing further...

Virgin Money to take mortgage application systems offline for five days

Virgin money has announced that its Virgin Money and Clydesdale online application platforms will...

Parental support for adult children is reshaping retirement plans

Three in five parents with children aged over 18 are providing financial support, with...

Latest publication

Other news

Energy-efficient homes ‘may carry higher climate risks’

Some of the UK’s more energy-efficient homes could face greater long-term exposure to flooding...

Mutual strength and the broker partnership

The mutual sector has always been associated with community purpose, local branches and a...

New towns plan may help supply but risks falling short, says former RICS chair

The government’s announcement of seven proposed new towns has been broadly welcomed as a...