New towns plan may help supply but risks falling short, says former RICS chair

The government’s proposal for seven new towns could support housing delivery, but questions remain over viability, timing and impact.

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The government’s announcement of seven proposed new towns has been broadly welcomed as a step towards boosting housing supply, although concerns remain over delivery and whether the plans will materially address the shortage.

Jeremy Leaf, a north London estate agent and former RICS residential chairman, said increased supply would be beneficial in principle but warned that expectations should be tempered.

Leaf (pictured) said: “More housing helps keep prices in check and reduces dependency on bed and breakfast type accommodation as well as improves job/social mobility and economic growth.

“Firstly, the description of ‘new town’ is a bit of a misnomer. It’s a little like describing the opening of an additional wing as a new hospital. Most of these announcements relate to expansion of existing suburbs and housing estates on the edge of established existing conurbations.

“Further, the timescales for building starts seem incredibly optimistic i.e. three to start by 2029 – bearing in mind acquisition and financing of infrastructure and meeting tough environmental rules.

“However, the announcement is not surprising bearing in mind how far the government appears to be falling behind its own housing targets. But only new completions are habitable, not starts.

“Housebuilding has collapsed over the past two years and is not considered financially viable in around half of the country according to recent reports, due to rising regulatory, tax, planning and building costs, especially in London and major cities.

“The proposals may not be perfect but anything that helps to get the country building again, particularly genuinely affordable, well-designed and located homes gets my vote. These targets must be regularly reviewed to make sure they are meeting aspirations.

“The government cannot tell house builders where, when and how much to build but can make it easier to obtain planning. However, planning reform alone won’t address the shortage and the growing gap between planning consents and built homes. House builders will only build at the rate they can sell while continuing to absorb the underlying costs and shortages.

“If more appropriately-sized homes of quality are not built in places of highest demand, buyers will have to wait even longer for prices to slow and/or wages to rise as a way of resetting affordability.”

AMBITION MEETS DELIVERY CHALLENGE

The government said the proposed locations form part of what it describes as the most ambitious housebuilding programme in more than half a century, with each site expected to deliver at least 10,000 homes and some exceeding 40,000 over time.

The plans focus largely on large-scale urban extensions and regeneration projects, including Tempsford in Bedfordshire, Crews Hill and Chase Park in Enfield, and Thamesmead in London, alongside developments in Leeds, Manchester, South Gloucestershire and Milton Keynes.

Ministers said the schemes would be designed as well-connected communities, with infrastructure, employment opportunities and transport links integrated from the outset.

However, Leaf’s comments reflect a wider industry concern that delivery — rather than ambition — remains the central challenge, particularly given viability pressures and the gap between planning approvals and completed homes.

The extent to which the new towns programme can translate into meaningful increases in supply is likely to depend on how quickly infrastructure, funding and planning constraints can be addressed.

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