Brokers still expect house price growth

Published on

65% of property and asset finance brokers expect the average house price to increase by more than 5% by the end of 2020, according to a United Trust Bank broker sentiment survey carried out last month.

However, 35% of brokers predict growth of less than 5% with 8% of those expecting prices to remain static or fall.

35% of brokers also expect to see the average UK house price increase by 10% or more over the next three years.

The average UK house price at the end of 2016 was just under £206,000, according to the Nationwide index. However, the most recent report indicated that average house prices fell in both March and April this year slowing the annual rate of house price growth to 2.6%. The average UK house price stood at £207,699 at the end of April, according to the Nationwide index.

The average UK house price has increased by around 27% in the last five years.

  • 8% of brokers expect the average UK house price to be between £195,000 and £205,000 by the end of 2020.
  • 27% expect the average UK house price to be between £206,000 and £215,000.
  • 30% expect the average UK house price to increase to between £216,000 and £225,000.
  • 19% expect the average UK house price to increase to between £226,000 and £235,000.
  • 14% expect the average UK house price to increase to between £236,000 and £250,000.
  • Just 2% expect to see an average UK house price of over £250,000 by the end of 2020.

Paul Keay, United Trust Bank’s property development director, said: “It’s interesting that despite there being talk from several quarters that the property market is cooling off, most brokers expect prices to keep rising for at least the next three years. In our experience, the prime London market has seen activity decrease slightly over the last six to nine months and this has translated to lower sales values being achieved in some cases.

“However, on UTB funded developments outside of that small central London bubble, there is still strong demand and sales activity. That would indicate that there’s still plenty of confidence in the new home sector in the wider market, especially when supported by demand side initiatives like Help to Buy.

“Brexit, the UK general election and the spectre of rising inflation and falling growth forecasts create uncertainty. However, we should remember that the UK’s housing crisis is not going to simply disappear, whatever happens to the political landscape. The only solution is to keep building hundreds of thousands of new homes each year to satisfy demand, and if developers bring well considered proposals for the right projects in the right places, UTB will continue to provide the funding they need to keep building.”

COMMENT ON MORTGAGE SOUP

We want to hear from you!
Leave a comment and get the conversation started.
You need to register to post, so please login or sign up below.

Latest articles

The Mortgage Works cuts switcher rates for existing landlords

The Mortgage Works has reduced rates across selected buy-to-let and limited company buy-to-let switcher...

Mortgage industry scheme for Armed Forces leavers gains momentum

A new initiative designed to encourage Armed Forces personnel into careers across the mortgage...

Hot weather prompts homeowners to rethink cooling costs and property choices

Rising temperatures are prompting more UK homeowners to invest in cooling measures, while growing...

The West Brom promotes Gareth Madeley to chief customer officer

West Brom Building Society has appointed Gareth Madeley as its new chief customer officer,...

Industry leaders unite behind MIMHC Lunch

HSBC UK, Virgin Money, Nottingham Building Society, Landbay and top broker firms Mortgage Advice...

Latest publication

Other news

New product launches bring renewed competition to protection market

The protection market has seen a flurry of product launches in recent weeks, with...

Political clarity should benefit homebuyers

It’s been another positive week for the mortgage market, with lenders continuing to reduce...

The Mortgage Works cuts switcher rates for existing landlords

The Mortgage Works has reduced rates across selected buy-to-let and limited company buy-to-let switcher...