Size isn’t always everything

Published on

Bob Young, CHL Mortgages

If any further proof were needed that buy-to-let is the place to be at present, the latest gross lending statistics published by the Council of Mortgage Lenders provided it in abundance. At £16.4bn, the final figure for 2012 not only represented a 19% increase on 2011, but also denotes the sector’s strongest performance in four years. The market may have shrunk somewhat since the £45bn advanced in 2007, but the present position must be considered in the context of the wider economic condition.

A more useful indicator of the private rented sector’s relative size is that at its peak in 2007, it accounted for 12.6% of total gross mortgage lending. The current figures show that buy-to-let is now responsible for 11.5% of all home loans and, with residential lending continuing to show only small growth, there is every chance a record market share could be registered this year. In much the same way as we convert house prices of yore into ‘today’s money’, so the buy-to-let sector’s performance is placed into clearer perspective when factoring in the wider market decline during the global financial crisis.

Like a snowball gathering size and momentum as it rolls down the hillside, a number of dynamics have converged to ensure the buy-to-let market has enjoyed such a strong recovery from the dark days of 2009. But while factors such as increased competition, enhanced product availability and falling first-time buyer levels have been well documented, one influence that is often overlooked is low-paying savings accounts. Individuals putting money away for a rainy day have had a tough time of things ever since the Bank Base Rate fell into its current trough, but this plight has been exacerbated not only by capital adequacy requirements but also potentially by then Funding for Lending scheme.

Savings rates dropped by 1% between the programme’s launch in the summer and the end of 2012 and to many observers this is no mere coincidence. Bad news for those trying to build a nest egg; good news for the private rented sector as individuals who previously would have diverted their money into savings accounts are now investing in property as a more lucrative option. Add into the equation investors disillusioned and averse to the risk currently posed by the stock market and it is not difficult to see why bricks and mortar has become the solid investment it was viewed as prior to the credit crisis.

Personally, I would settle for annual gross buy-to-let lending remaining a relative shadow of 2007’s levels as long as it is still accounting for a healthy overall market share – as it is now – and providing its practitioners are learning from the mistakes made by their predecessors. Size isn’t always everything and it is far better for all concerned if we have a leaner yet more robust market than the juggernaut that risked lurching out of control back then. A lot has changed in the last five years and although it may have not seemed likely at times, the buy-to-let market could yet emerge one of the real victors once the economy eventually turns the corner.

Bob Young is managing director of CHL Mortgages

COMMENT ON MORTGAGE SOUP

We want to hear from you!
Leave a comment and get the conversation started.
You need to register to post, so please login or sign up below.

1 COMMENT

  1. Back in the day, subprime lenders like igroup (once they stopped rule of 78 lending) and Kensington provided valuable credit recovery products. But then lots of foreign banks and highly-automated behemoths like GMAC and BMids moved in and pretty soon even little building societies like the Chelsea and Derbyshire (RIP) joined the fray. CHL (like other buy-to-let experts) are experienced specialists who really understand the issues and would obviously wish to avoid a similar catastrophe in the buy-to-let sector.

Comments are closed.

Latest articles

Atom bank funds £2.7m purchase of Leicester pub conversion into student housing

Atom bank has provided a £2.7m commercial mortgage to support the purchase of a...

Keystone trims BTL rates and unveils AI-powered upgrade

Keystone Property Finance has reduced rates across its buy-to-let range, with cuts of up...

BTL lending criteria changing to tackle net zero risk

Buy-to-let lenders have begun reassessing their approach to energy-inefficient properties in anticipation of looming...

The Darlington widens criteria for key workers with variable incomes

Darlington Building Society has broadened its mortgage criteria to better support professionals with complex...

The Exeter brings life product to UnderwriteMe’s platform

The Exeter has launched its life insurance product on UnderwriteMe’s Protection Platform, allowing advisers...

Latest opinions

FCA’s mortgage rule changes: it’s time to raise the advice bar, not drop it

The FCA’s move to relax some of the rules around mortgage switching and term...

Tom Bill: Unintended consequences

Former Prime Minister William Pitt the Younger introduced a brick tax in 1784 to...

U.S. Market: lower rates are needed to help unlock the market

When Donald Trump was reelected and took office at the start of this year,...

Mortgage advice in jeopardy as FCA reopens the door to execution-only

Execution only and FCA’s consultation has been playing on my mind. Having navigated decades...

Other news

Atom bank funds £2.7m purchase of Leicester pub conversion into student housing

Atom bank has provided a £2.7m commercial mortgage to support the purchase of a...

Keystone trims BTL rates and unveils AI-powered upgrade

Keystone Property Finance has reduced rates across its buy-to-let range, with cuts of up...

BTL lending criteria changing to tackle net zero risk

Buy-to-let lenders have begun reassessing their approach to energy-inefficient properties in anticipation of looming...