‘Business as usual’ for house prices

Published on

Halifax has reported that average house prices rose once more in August, with the cost of a property increasing by 0.7% or £1,789.

Back-to-back monthly price gains have now pushed the cost of a typical home to a record of £262,954, topping the previous high (£261,642) recorded in May this year.

Russell Galley, managing director of Halifax, said: “Given the rapid gains seen over the past 12 months, August’s rise was relatively modest and the annual rate of house price inflation continued to slow, hitting a five-month low of 7.1% (versus 7.6% in July). However, compared to June 2020, when the housing market began to reopen from the first lockdown, prices remain more than £23,600 higher (or +9.9%).

“Much of the impact from the stamp duty holiday has now left the market, as highlighted by the drop in industry transaction numbers compared to a year ago. However, while such Government schemes have provided vital stimulus, there have also been other significant drivers of house price inflation.

“We believe structural factors have driven record levels of buyer activity – such as the demand for more space amid greater home working. These trends look set to persist and the price gains made since the start of the pandemic are unlikely to be reversed once the remaining tax break comes to an end later this month.

“Moreover, the macroeconomic environment is becoming increasingly positive, with job vacancies at a record high and consumer confidence returning to pre-pandemic levels. Coupled with a supply of properties for sale that looks increasingly tight, and barring any reimposition of lockdown measures or a significant increase in unemployment as job support schemes are unwound later this year, these factors should continue to support prices in the near-term.”

Halifax reported that annual house price inflation is slowing in most nations and regions. Wales remains the strongest performing area, with annual house price inflation at 11.6% and the only double-digit rise recorded in the UK during August. The South West is also still experiencing strong growth at 9.6%, likely reflecting the ongoing demand for rural living within the region.

The bank said that some areas do appear to have headroom for even stronger price growth, with annual house price inflation in the North East now up to 8%. Northern Ireland has also seen prices rise further with annual house price inflation of 9.3% in August, though Scotland has seen price growth slow to 8.4%.

Greater London continues to lag the rest of the country, registering just a 1.3% annual increase in prices in August and, over the latest rolling three-monthly period, was the only region or nation to record a fall in prices (-0.3%). The year-over-year rise in London was also the weakest seen in 18 months. Though at a cost of £508,503, typical properties in the capital remain far above the national average national price.

Iain McKenzie, CEO of the Guild of Property Professionals, added: “For all the speculation about what would happen when the stamp duty holiday ended, today’s figures look like business as usual for a jaw-dropping year for house prices.

“There’s another record for the cost of an average house, though the pace of growth is slowing month by month.

“Any increase to house prices now is fuelled by a short supply of housing stock coupled with the demand for space, as people continue to work from home and retain flexible working.

“People’s choices are reflected in the regional breakdown, with the South West and Wales seeing the biggest growth, and London lagging behind as commuters flee the rat race.

“Scarcity of properties on the market will continue to prop up prices for the foreseeable future, and we may be entering a period of stability after the rollercoaster of the past 18 months.”

Latest POLL

COMMENT ON MORTGAGE SOUP

We want to hear from you!
Leave a comment and get the conversation started.
You need to register to post, so please login or sign up below.

Latest articles

More2life unveils Tailored Interest Reward lifetime mortgage

More2life has launched its latest lifetime mortgage, Tailored Interest Reward, designed to provide later...

Pivot provides complex multi-loan deal for Denby Dale development

Pivot has completed a funding package consisting of three loans for a residential development...

HREF reports record month for lending

Hilco Real Estate Finance (HREF) has recorded its strongest month to date, completing three...

Mortgage advisers failing over-50s on later life lending, Key warns

Mortgage advisers are not doing enough to support over-50s with later life lending options,...

Other news

More2life unveils Tailored Interest Reward lifetime mortgage

More2life has launched its latest lifetime mortgage, Tailored Interest Reward, designed to provide later...

Pivot provides complex multi-loan deal for Denby Dale development

Pivot has completed a funding package consisting of three loans for a residential development...

HREF reports record month for lending

Hilco Real Estate Finance (HREF) has recorded its strongest month to date, completing three...