Brokers still expect house price growth

Published on

65% of property and asset finance brokers expect the average house price to increase by more than 5% by the end of 2020, according to a United Trust Bank broker sentiment survey carried out last month.

However, 35% of brokers predict growth of less than 5% with 8% of those expecting prices to remain static or fall.

35% of brokers also expect to see the average UK house price increase by 10% or more over the next three years.

The average UK house price at the end of 2016 was just under £206,000, according to the Nationwide index. However, the most recent report indicated that average house prices fell in both March and April this year slowing the annual rate of house price growth to 2.6%. The average UK house price stood at £207,699 at the end of April, according to the Nationwide index.

The average UK house price has increased by around 27% in the last five years.

  • 8% of brokers expect the average UK house price to be between £195,000 and £205,000 by the end of 2020.
  • 27% expect the average UK house price to be between £206,000 and £215,000.
  • 30% expect the average UK house price to increase to between £216,000 and £225,000.
  • 19% expect the average UK house price to increase to between £226,000 and £235,000.
  • 14% expect the average UK house price to increase to between £236,000 and £250,000.
  • Just 2% expect to see an average UK house price of over £250,000 by the end of 2020.

Paul Keay, United Trust Bank’s property development director, said: “It’s interesting that despite there being talk from several quarters that the property market is cooling off, most brokers expect prices to keep rising for at least the next three years. In our experience, the prime London market has seen activity decrease slightly over the last six to nine months and this has translated to lower sales values being achieved in some cases.

“However, on UTB funded developments outside of that small central London bubble, there is still strong demand and sales activity. That would indicate that there’s still plenty of confidence in the new home sector in the wider market, especially when supported by demand side initiatives like Help to Buy.

“Brexit, the UK general election and the spectre of rising inflation and falling growth forecasts create uncertainty. However, we should remember that the UK’s housing crisis is not going to simply disappear, whatever happens to the political landscape. The only solution is to keep building hundreds of thousands of new homes each year to satisfy demand, and if developers bring well considered proposals for the right projects in the right places, UTB will continue to provide the funding they need to keep building.”

COMMENT ON MORTGAGE SOUP

We want to hear from you!
Leave a comment and get the conversation started.
You need to register to post, so please login or sign up below.

Latest articles

Market Harborough broadens tier two mortgage criteria to boost complex case lending

Market Harborough Building Society has introduced a series of criteria enhancements to its tier...

Coventry for intermediaries reduces rates across residential and buy-to-let ranges

Coventry for intermediaries has announced rate cuts of up to 19 basis points, with...

Halifax cuts remortgage rates across selected two and five-year fixed deals

Halifax Intermediaries has announced a series of rate cuts across its remortgage product range,...

The Leeds reports £104m profit amid robust lending and savings growth

Leeds Building Society has reported a profit before tax of £104.4 million for the...

Annual house price growth picks up as affordability improves

The UK housing market showed renewed resilience in July, with house prices rising by...

Latest publication

Latest opinions

Job cuts to inflation shock: preparing for a mortgage arrears crisis

The latest data on jobs paints a picture of a rapidly weakening labour market. The...

URGENT! AI Is coming for you. Or maybe not…

I’ll try to make this as straight to the point as I can. The...

Mind the gap: Can mortgage advice change the game for protection?

Many industry insiders still talk about the UK protection gap and how vast it...

Navigating HMO and MUFB complexity with confidence

Historically, larger Houses in Multiple Occupation (HMOs) and Multi-Unit Freehold Blocks (MUFBs) have often...

Other news

Market Harborough broadens tier two mortgage criteria to boost complex case lending

Market Harborough Building Society has introduced a series of criteria enhancements to its tier...

Coventry for intermediaries reduces rates across residential and buy-to-let ranges

Coventry for intermediaries has announced rate cuts of up to 19 basis points, with...

Halifax cuts remortgage rates across selected two and five-year fixed deals

Halifax Intermediaries has announced a series of rate cuts across its remortgage product range,...